Mid-Year Outlook 2026: Key Investor Lessons for the Second Half of the Year

There is a saying that smooth seas do not make skillful sailors. When it comes to investing, at no time has this been more true than during the first half of the year. Investors faced major events including the war in Iran, oil prices pushing inflation to multi-year highs, and questions around artificial intelligence (AI). […]
Two Fed Eras: Greenspan’s Legacy and the Future Under Warsh

Alan Greenspan once said “since I’ve become a central banker, I have learned to mumble with great incoherence.” Greenspan, who passed away recently at the age of 100, served as the Chair of the Federal Reserve from 1987 to 2006 and became one of the most influential economic figures of the 20th century.1 As we […]
Special Update: New Peace Deal Framework and What It Means for Investors

The U.S. and Iran announced a preliminary agreement intended to end the four-month conflict that has weighed on the global economy. Financial markets have reacted positively to this development, with the stock market climbing, oil prices falling, and interest rates declining. How should investors interpret this agreement and what does it mean for portfolios? The […]
Making Sense of Recent Market Volatility

The stock market has experienced historically strong returns over the past quarter, so the latest episode of volatility may raise questions among investors. The Nasdaq experienced its largest single-day fall in a year, with the index declining 4.2% on Friday, June 5. Counterintuitively, the drop followed a strong jobs report, which is good news for […]
Monthly Market Update for May 2026: New Highs, IPOs, Inflation, and a new Fed Chair

May was a strong month for investors, with major indices reaching new all-time highs, even as the bond market faced challenges from inflation concerns. The S&P 500 climbed above 7,500 for the first time, supported by continued strength in technology stocks. At the same time, long-term interest rates rose to nearly two-decade highs before moderating […]
Portfolio Perspectives: Tech Stocks, IPOs, and Higher Interest Rates

The S&P 500 recently surpassed 7,500 for the first time, marking another milestone in a year that has seen many new all-time highs. This is positive for investors, especially because several sectors have contributed to this rally. These trends have also fueled enthusiasm for IPOs, particularly ones related to artificial intelligence, after years of relatively […]
How the Fed Under Kevin Warsh May Impact Markets

The Federal Reserve plays a central role in financial markets and the economy, and its importance has only grown in recent decades. From the 2008 global financial crisis to the inflationary period of the past several years, investors have followed every Fed decision carefully. So, when leadership changes occur at the Fed, they naturally capture […]
OPEC, Tariffs, and All-Time Highs: Macro Events and Long-Term Investing

For much of the history of the stock market, investing was primarily about individual stocks and bonds. Over the past few decades, however, macroeconomic developments have increasingly influenced markets. Significant events, whether related to central bank policy, geopolitics, or global trade, now affect nearly all stocks across the market, regardless of their individual stories. For […]
What Seasonal Patterns Like “Sell in May” Mean for Investors

The human brain is excellent at finding patterns, a skill that has evolved to help us across many parts of life. However, it can also lead us astray when there is no real pattern at all, such as when we see shapes in clouds and ink blots. When it comes to investing, this is relevant […]
Monthly Market Update for April: New All-Time Highs Despite Market Uncertainty

April’s performance is a reminder that markets can experience strong rebounds even in the face of ongoing investor concerns. Despite the continuing war in the Middle East, major market indices climbed to new all-time highs during the month. The S&P 500 gained 10.4% in April alone, one of its strongest monthly performances in history. On […]